v1.8 · NQ / MNQ Automated Futures Strategy
Risk / Reward & Contract Sizing Reference Based on W1–W3 Live Forward Test Evidence · 19 May – 5 June 2026
Forward Test Pace: 117–129% of $30,000 target
A+ Win Rate: 100% · Overall Win Rate: 58.8% (v1.7)
Projected v1.8 Win Rate: 88.2%
Grade System & Exit Architecture
v1.8 — Partial exit replaces single TP
A+
ATR contraction ≥15% · Highest conviction
P1 / P2 / Runner partial exits · Full structural move
P1 1/3 · First structural level ~40–80pts Profit locked
P2 1/3 · Second structural level ~100–200pts Locked
P3 1/3 · Runner · 70pt trail Full move Rides move
A
ATR contraction 8–14.9% · High quality
Same P1/P2/Runner architecture as A+
B
ATR contraction <8% · Lowest conviction
ATR re-expansion exit · 50% contract scale
B Grade — ATR Re-Expansion Exit
Exits when ATR re-expands 10% above entry bar ATR. Captures the initial impulse before reversal — variable exit distance (avg 8–20pts). No fixed TP. No trail. 50% base contracts always applied.
Breakeven Mechanism — REMOVED in v1.8
Replaced entirely by P1 partial exit. Once P1 fires the trade cannot scratch to zero. Eight confirmed forward test instances of breakeven destroying valid A+ winners. Evidence: RC-BE-01 through RC-BE-08.
P&L Per Trade by Grade & Contracts — v1.8
Grade Exit 3 MNQ 6 MNQ 10 MNQ 20 MNQ
A+ P1 ~60pts +$120 +$240 +$400 +$800
A+ P2 ~150pts +$300 +$600 +$1,000 +$2,000
A+ Runner 250–380pts +$500+ +$1,000+ +$1,666+ +$3,333+
A+ Combined All 3 exits +$920+ +$1,840+ +$3,066+ +$6,133+
A Combined P1/P2/Runner +$920+ +$1,840+ +$3,066+ +$6,133+
B (50% scale) ATR re-exp ~15pts +$30 +$60 +$100 +$200
SL Hit (post P1) P1 retained +$40 min +$80 min +$133 min +$267 min
SL Hit (no P1) -40pts full pos -$240 -$480 -$800 -$1,600
Key Principle — After P1 Fires
Once P1 exits 1/3 of the position, the worst case on the remaining 2/3 is breakeven (BE moves to entry). The trade cannot produce a net loss once P1 is banked. Pre-news position management (CT-19) enforces this before 09:30 events.
Same Trade v1.7 Captured v1.8 Projected Gain
RC-PARTIAL-01 (282pts) +$1,479 +$2,820 +$1,341
RC-PARTIAL-02 (384pts) +$40 +$1,182 +$1,142
W3 D1 session +$3,090 +$5,500+ +$2,410+
Contract Sizing by Account
Account MDD Base MNQ Daily Loss $ Daily Target $
$25k Eval $1,500 1 MNQ $480 $600
$50k Eval $2,500 2 MNQ $640 $900
$100k Eval $3,000 3 MNQ $960 $1,800
$150k Eval $4,500 5 MNQ $1,440 $2,700
Funded $100k $5,000 6 MNQ $960 $1,800
Funded $150k $7,500 10 MNQ $1,200 $3,000
Funded $200k $10,000 12 MNQ $1,440 $3,600
Funded $300k $15,000 20 MNQ $1,920 $6,000
Sizing Formula
Base contracts = (Account MDD × 10%) ÷ (40pt SL × $2 per point). Daily loss limit = 32% of MDD. Daily target = 60% of MDD. All figures for MNQ at $2/pt.
Session Risk Scaling — Auto Applied
Base
Friday
News Day
Grade B
Fri + News
3
1
1
1
1 ▼
6
3
3
3
2
10
5
5
5
3
20
10
10
10
5
Scale = 50% of base. Combined conditions apply most conservative scale. ▼ = floor reached (minimum 1). Consecutive losses (2+) also trigger 50% scale.
Key Operational Parameters
Stop Loss40pts fixed
P1 targetFirst structural level
P2 targetSecond structural level
Runner trail70pts · calibrated
B grade exitATR re-exp 10%
BreakevenREMOVED — P1 replaces
Touch zone10pts
Proximity conflict35pts
Retest windowPersistent arm
Min Asian range80pts
ATR A+ threshold0.15 (15%)
ATR A threshold0.08 (8%)
HTF EMA4H · EMA 21
Blackout 107:00–09:00 ET
Blackout 211:00–13:00 ET
News buffer±15 mins
Late session gate15:15 ET
Session close16:00 ET
Point value MNQ$2.00 per point
Point value MES$5.00 per point
W1–W3 Forward Test Evidence
88%
Projected v1.8 Win Rate
100%
A+ Grade Win Rate
117%
Annual Pace W3
Annual P&L Projection — v1.8
Contracts Conservative At W3 Pace
3 MNQ +$18,000 +$35,100
6 MNQ +$36,000 +$70,200
10 MNQ +$60,000 +$117,000
20 MNQ +$120,000 +$234,000
Conservative = $30k annual target × contract multiplier. At W3 Pace = 117% of target × multiplier. Past performance does not guarantee future results.